Wind AlliesTier 1
at MVG HVN Regional 4/6
decks
3
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
13-5-1
overall winrate
71.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.1%
avg ELO +6.6 per match
expected value
51.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1263
· median 1246
· range 1241–1302
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1134
Q3 1327
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 8.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.0% | +6.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 72.9% | +17.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Diana | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
